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THE BUBBLE AND BEYOND

MICHAEL HUDSON

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Subtitel: Fictitious Capital, Debt Deflation and Gobal Crisis: ISLET, Dresden, 2012, 535 pgs, index, extensive illustrations, tables, charts, graphs and models; this is a new issue with two added chapters; paperback

 
 

Reviewer's comment: In many ways this is the capstone to the many books, articles, and interviews Dr. Hudson has produce, many of which are included in this list. It about the same theme, that extradornary expansion of debt has and continues to wreck contemporary economy, and that ancient societies in Egypt and Mesopotamia solved the same problem by government fiat that periodically abolished debt. Dr. Hudson then recommend that solution to solve debt today. He is one of a very few economists who has studied ancient Mesopotamian economic history. His analysis focuses on the role of debt in the economy and government actions to ameliorate its results. But being a Marxist, he simply ignores the study of religious history to see that it was religious beliefs that determined the entire society's 'worldview' and was the cause of all the decisions that resulted in the historical actions he describes. Of course nearly other economists, including non_Marxist theoriticians) also ignore any facit of human action except the economic and also ignore history, especially ancient history. So in that respect his attention is much needed. Religion was NOT 'the opiate of the people'.

 

 

Acknowledgements:
In this section Dr. Hudson comments: 'how orthodox schools retain the Ricardian tradition of describing how economies world work wihtout free credit creation and debt'. Right there is is stating the problem, namely, that in the 20th 21st centuries governmetns ARE creating free credit and its counterpart in debt'. But why and how are governments creating 'free credit' and what does that mean. "Free credit" is credit generated and given out to consumers in a 'welfare state' without it being an exchange for production. The debt is not based on a promise for credit extinction by the future of expanded production.

 
 

Preface:
Again, the author starts right out to describe his theory. "This treatise in economic theory traces how industrial capitalism has turned into finance capitalism. It claims that the finance, insurance and real estate (FIRE) sector creates "balance sheet wealth" not by new tangible investment and employment, but financially in the form of debt leveraging and rent-extraction. Such 'rentier gains are an overhead that is overpowering the economy's ability to pay."
All very true but why and how specifically. Instead of finace capitalism replacing industrial capitalism I propose the theory of 'consumer capitalism replacing production capitalism" Actually it is consumer anti-capitalism because all capital consists of the 'retained earnings' of production that is not consumed but employed with the objective of generating MORE 'retained earnings' hence more capital. Only capital that creates more capital can expand an economy and it is credit is capital in the temporary form of credit that can be invested in the time consuming production process to fund expansion BEFORE the results are achieved. But credit that is given 'free' by the welfare state rulers absent any existing collateral or even a promise to expand future production that actually DESTROYS capital.
Dr. Hudson is right to note that the 'Bubble Edconomy' is unstable and has become a 'casino capitalism'. But that is because the insiders in the parasitical finance industry extract fees and charges from the 'retained earnings' and quickly convert the fitcious 'value' of unbacked credit into real, material assets especially real estate and stock market investments to support insurance and pensions.

He continues: "This situation confronts society with a choice: either to write down debts to a level that can be paid or indeed, to write them off with a Clean State), or to permit creditors to foreclose, concentrating property in their own hands (including whatever assets are in the public domain to be privitized) and imposing a combination of financial and fiscal austerity on the population.

What he means by 'Clean Slate' will become clear in several chapters. But he believes it would be the same as imposed by edict by ancient mesopotamian rulers. But there is a fundamental difference between then and now. Then the rulers (and their friends and officials) were the creditors and the debtors whose debt was extinguisned were the farmers and artisans. But today is is the rulers (national and local) who are the debtors and the private persons from whom production assets without an exchange of assets has been extacted with the credit promise to create new assets in the future. Moreover, today credit is practcially ALL of the money supply.

 
 

Part I -Fictitious Capital and Economic Fictions

 
 

Chapter 1 - Two Traditions of Financial Doctrine

 
 

Chapter 2 - The Magic of Compound Interest: Mathematics at the the Root of the Crisis

 
 

Chapter 3 - How Economic Theory Came to Ignore the Role of Debt

 
 

Chapter 4 - The Industrialization of Finance and the Financialization of Industry

 
 

Chapter 5 - The Use and Abuse of Mathematical Economics

 
 

Chapter 6 - The Financial Character of Today's Crisis and Why Economists Avoid Confronting It

 
 

Part II - Inflated Debt and Debt Deflation

 
 

Chapter 7 - A Property is Worth Whatever a Bank Will Lend

 
 

Chapter 8 - The Real Estate Bubble at the Core of Today's Debt-Leveraged Economy

 
 

Chapter 9 - Junk-Bonding Industry

 
 

Chapter 10 - Privatizing Social Security to Rescue Wall Street

 
 

Chapter 11 - Saving, Asset -Price Inflation and Debt Deflation

 
 

Chapter 12 - Saving our Way into Poverty: The Political Implications

 
 

Part III - The Global Crisis

 
 

Chapter 13 - Trade and Payments in a Financialized Economy

 
 

Chapter 14 - U.S. Quantitative Easing Fractures the Global Economy

 
 

Chapter 15 - America's Monetary Imperialism

 
 

Chapter 16 - How the Dollar Glut Finances America's Military Build-Up

 
 

Chapter 17 - De-Dollarization and the End of American's Empire

 
 

Chapter 18 - Incorporating the Rentier Sectors into a Financial Model

 
 

Part IV - The Need for a Clean State

 
 

Chapter 19 - From Democracy to Oligarchy: National Economies

 
 

Chapter 20 - Scenarios for Recovery

 
 

Bonus Chapter: The Road to Debt Deflation, Deb Peonage and Neofeudalism

 
 

Bonus Summary

 

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